MODEL KERAGAAN SAYUR DAN BUAH SEBELUM DAN SESUDAH ERUPSI GUNUNG SINABUNG DI KABUPATEN KARO SUMATERA UTARA
ABSTRACT: An eruption of Mount
Sinabung since 2010 up to now have an impact on the production and export of
vegetables and fruits in the district of Karo.
The purpose of this research is 1) To analyze the supply-demand of
vegetables and fruits in North Sumatra after the eruption of Mount Sinabung
since 2010 and compare it with before the the eruption of Mount Sinabung And 2)
To build a horticultural development model after the eruption of Mount Sinabung
from the aspects of farming, middle-farm and post-harvest also policy simulation
The analyzed data was the data series of Karo regency using the simultane model
with method estimation two SLS. The result of analysis showed that there was no
significant difference in the production of vegetables and fruits before and
after the eruption of Mount Sinabung in Karo regency. While at the variable
price shows that there was a significant difference before and after the
eruption of Mount Sinabung As the
simultaneous production, consumption, exports, domestic prices, horticulture
export prices in the Karo district affect one another and the policy to develop
production and horticulture export was by minimizing Bank Indonesia’s rate and
decreasing the price of fertilizer by 10 percent.
Penulis: Satia Negara Lubis
Kode Jurnal: jppertaniandd160710
