Pendekatan Fuzzy Pada Peramalan Jumlah Kunjungan Wisatawan Mancanegara ke Kabupaten Badung
Abstract: This work is
directed to forecast the number of foreign visitors come to tourist’s
destinations at Badung regency, Province of Bali. Using visit historical data
for period January 2000 to February 2015, Markov Transition Matrix and Fuzzy
Triangular Number are applied to represent fuzzy logical relationship group and
member function in fuzzy model, respectively.
The results showed the in-sample forecasting accuracy for our fuzzy
model as much as 2,48 percent. To validate the model, we found the average
forecasting error rate for five consecutive months (March – July 2015) as much
as 2,70 percent.
Penulis: Tjokorda Bagus Oka,
Eka N. Kencana
Kode Jurnal: jpmatematikadd160249
