DAMPAK PERKEMBANGAN CHINA TERHADAP PEREKONOMIAN NEGARA-NEGARA ASEAN

Abstract: China’s  growth  has  been  altered  global  economy.  China  has  major  impact  not only to Asian countries but also to global economy. In the ASEAN summit meeting in  Cebu  Philippines  2007, ASEAN  leaders  agreed  to  realize ASEAN  Economic Community  (AEC)  faster  (in  2015)  to  anticipate  competition  with  China  and India.This research has the objectives to explore the impact of China expansion to ASEAN  economy. To achieve the objective,  Structural VAR analysis and Spearman Rank Correlation for  Revealed  Comparative Advantage  are  employed.
The output shows  that  China  growth  can  have  positive  effect  because  there  are symmetric shocks beetween China and some ASEAN countries (except for Cambodia, Laos,  and  Myanmar)  high  degree  of  complementarity  in  export  between  China and  some ASEAN  countries  (except  Cambodia  and  Vietnam).Policy  implication are ASEAN must  increase the degree of complementarity with China economy  and also the degree of  shocks correlation  in order to get positive  impact  from China growth . The  way are to increase ASEAN+3  cooperation,  inreasing trade intensity and also  production  sharing  between ASEAN and China.
Keywords:  China  Economy Effect,  Revealed Comparative Advantage, Shocks Correlation,  China and ASEAN
Penulis: Telisa Aulia Falianty
Kode Jurnal: jpmanajemendd080076
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