Rancang Bangun Aplikasi Peramalan Permintaan Pada Toko Roti Yulia Bakery Kediri
Abstract: Yulia
Bakery is one
of the bakeries
in Kediri. The
problems happens when
there is a customer who wants to buy bread, but bread
available at the store did not meet. This can lead to disappointment on the
customer, so that Yulia Bakery can lose
customers. This happens because in determining
demand, Yulia Bakery
has n ot been
able to use
the calculation of demand but only based on estimates. The
problem can be solved by calculating demand forecasting based on sales data in
the previous period. Forecasting calculations using the
method of Naive and Exponential Smoothing Winter because this method fits with the
pattern of existing data. The method used can forecast demand
for the next
two periods . Based
on trial results
and the evaluation
shows that forecasting application
that has been
created can perform
calculations usi ng two
methods of forecast. The best forecasting value used is selected
from a method that has a relatively small error values using Exponen tial
Smoothing Methods Winter. Applications
can predict future demand for the two periods with an error value of 106.881 .
Penulis: Lilia Puspasari, Sulistiowati,
Julianto Lemantara
Kode Jurnal: jptkomputerdd150146
