ANALISIS KAUSALITAS HARGA BERAS, HARGA PEMBELIAN PEMERINTAH (HPP) DAN INFLASI SERTA EFEKTIVITAS KEBIJAKAN HPP DI INDONESIA
Abstract: This research aims
to analyze the causal relationship between the retail price of rice (HEB) the
government purchase price (HPP) and inflation in Indonesia. The data analysis
used in this research is analysis of causality by using the Engel Granger
causality analysis and analysis price
transmission elasticity. The results showed that there was one-way
causality relationship between inflation and HEB. The HEB was at α=5% and the
causality relationship between inflation and HPP were one-way. Inflation affected HPP on both dry grain
harvest (HGKP) and milled rice (HGKG) respectively - each at α=1%. There was
one-way causal relationship between the retail price of rice and HPP. The HEB
influenced HPP on both HGKP and HGKG at α=1% and α=5%. The HPP policy had
not been effectively done by price transmission
elasticity between HEB, HGKP and HGKG which was equal to 0.9 (Et<1). It
meant that changes in the level of consumer prices that occurred was not
responded by the producer price level.
Penulis: Andi Saputra,
Bustanul Arifin, Eka Kasymir
Kode Jurnal: jppertaniandd140079
