GEJOLAK HARGA KOMODITAS PANGAN INTERNASIONAL : DAMPAK DAN IMPLIKASI KEBIJAKAN BAGI KETAHANAN PANGAN INDONESIA
ABSTRACTS: The volatility of
international food price has become a challenge for food development in Indonesia.
General Equilibrium Economic Model was used to analyze the effect of
international food price volatility to the Indonesian Macro Economic Condition,
besides it also captured the ability from the chosen policy scenario and the
increase of productivity which stated to analyze the national food security.
The simultaneous equation model (2 SLS) was used to analyze the farmhousehold
economic characteristics (RTP), the interaction among production, consumption, income,
saving, and the impact which caused from main output price changing (dominant)
to RTP food security. The increase in international food price caused the increase
in GDP, consumption, wage, and real price. Meanwhile, on the commodities, the
effect on production, export andimport varied. At the household level, the
increase in commodity price would increase consumption, wage and income.
Therefore the increase in international price would have positive effect on
food security.
Keywords: food price
volatility, food security, general equilibrium model, simultaneous equation
model
Penulis: Ratna Winandi
Asmarantaka dan Rina Oktaviani
Kode Jurnal: jppertaniandd090126
