Study on Logistics Industry Development Policy of Beijing Based on System Dynamic
Abstract: This paper is committed
to design a logistics industry development policy model based on system dynamic
to simulate the policy measures which promote region economic and logistics
efficiency. The interaction between logistic industry development policy and
economy needs to be investigated and the influence degree of logistic
efficiency affected by industry policy needs to be identified too.
Design/methodology/approach: In order to achieve the objective, it makes
a system analysis from industry perspective to divide system into economic
growth subsystem, logistics demand subsystem and logistics supply subsystem.
Then the hypothesis and the boundaries are defined, and the causal diagram and
system flow diagrams are drawn. The paper designs parameters and structural
equation by the sample of Beijing using the econometrics model and takes model
validation. Taking Beijing as an example, logistics industry development policy
is simulated from the aspect of technological progress, increasing fixed assets
investment, adjusting the industrial structure proportion and comprehensive
policy by changing the parameters using Vensim-PLE.
Findings?After logistics development policy is highly simulated by system
dynamic model of logistics industry development policy, it is found that the
policies of technological progress, fixed assets investment increasing, the
industrial structure proportion adjustment and the comprehensive policy have
different function to affect GDP, logistics demand, supply capacity and actual
logistics costs.
Originality/value: Compared with the previous research, this paper
analyzes the interactive mechanism between logistics industry policy and region
economy from a system perspective and establishes system dynamics model of
logistics industry development policy to make up for the limitation of previous
research.
Author: Shuihai Dou, Xuemei
Li, Xuewei Li, Juanqiong Gou
Journal Code: jptindustrigg140060
