ANALISIS HUBUNGAN PENDAPATAN WISATAWAN DAN HARGA PARIWISATA TERHADAP PERMINTAAN PARIWISATA DENGAN VECM
ABSTRACT: Tourism demand is
focused on estimating variables which influence tourist visit. The tourism
demand that we discuss on this research is the tourism demand to Bali of the
major tourism-generating country was Australia. The aim of this research is to
analyze the relationship between tourist income and tourism price to tourism
demand using VECM. VECM requires that the variables in the model must be
stationary and fulfilled a cointegration condition. In order to make it valid,
the stationarity of variables in the model have to be checked using ADF unit
root test. In additon, cointegration between these variables are examined using
Johansen’s cointegration test. The results of ADF unit root test show that
indicated the tourist income, the tourism price and the tourism demand for
Australia data are stationary in first lag or I(1). Cointegration test shows
that all variables are cointegrated, i.e. have a long-run relationship. In the
long-run, the tourist income and tourism price give positive effect to the
tourism demand. This means, the increase of tourist income and tourism price
will contribute to the increase in tourism demand. In addition, in the
short-run, the tourist income and the tourism price give negative effect to the
tourism demand. This means, the increase of tourist income and tourism price
will contribute to the decrease in tourism demand.
Keywords: ADF Unit Root Test,
Johansen’s Cointegration Test, The Tourism Demand, The Tourist Income, The
Tourism Price, Vector Error Correction Model
Penulis: Merary Sianipar
Kode Jurnal: jpmatematikadd160183
