ANALISIS PENGARUH EKSPOR INDUSTRI MANUFAKTUR PADA KINERJA MAKROEKONOMI INDONESIA
Abstract: The exports of
manufacturing industry which consists of the export agroindustry and
non-agroindustry, has an important role influencing the development of
Indonesia's macroeconomic performance. This study aims to analyze the influence
of manufacturing industry exports to Indonesia's macroeconomic performance. The
study uses quarterly time series data from 1990 to 2009. Using VAR analysis
model, the results of research are in short-term shocks to export agroindustry
manufacturing has a positive effect on economic growth by 0.10%, but a negative
effect on net exports, inflation, and exchange rates. Conversely, in the long
term the shock has a negative effect on performance makrokonomi Indonesia.
While the non-agroindustry export shocks in both the short and long term, has a
positive effect on macroeconomic performance, except to the exchange rate has
decreased in the long run.
Keywords: agroindustry
exports, exports of non-agroindustry, macroeconomic performance, model, vector
autoregression (VAR)
Penulis: Saimul Saimul, M
Tambunan, R Oktaviani, M Firdaus
Kode Jurnal: jpmanajemendd110338
