The Analysis of Household Car and Motorcycle Ownerships Using Poisson Regression (Case Study: Denpasar-Bali)

Abstract: This study examines household factors which influence car and motorcycle ownerships in the city of Denpasar, Bali using a Poisson regression model. The study found that the increase in number of workers and students in a household may affect the probability of owning motorcycle by the household. Meanwhile, the increase in number of family member and total travel distance may affect household preference to own a car. In addition, car capacity and other factors may increase household preference to own a car. None of these variables, however, significantly influenced on both car and motorcycle ownerships. In other words, the household had a separate preference when purchasing either a car or a motorcycle. The sensitivity analyses show a-50% increase in number of workers and students may increase motorcycle ownership by 1 unit and a-50% increase in total travel distance by all household members may increase car ownership by 1 unit. 
Keywords: Motorcycle ownership, car ownership, household characteristics, poisson regression
Author: D. M. Priyantha Wedagama
Journal Code: jptsipilgg090005

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