Spectral Decomposition of Transition Matrix

Abstract: The transition probabilities of a two-state Markov process  can be determined explicitly. The modeling of force   transition of two state Markov process using double decrement approach is well developed in the literature. However, the approaches are mainly analytic or illustrative and are based on small data set. The study based on large data set are rarely published. For higher number of states, the computation of transition probabilities is laborious, and an alternative method is needed. This work aims to propose a spectral approach of forces of transition  that attempts to address the issues. The method is based on results that are available when a Markov process with constant forces of transition is assumed. In this case, transition probabilities are obtained regardless of the number of states. A differential equation is used to express the relationship between frces of decrements and transition probabilities, and by assuming constant force, the explicit solution is reduced to spectral decomposition of force of decrements. The results are the visualization of transition probabilities, and a contribution for the development of double decrement  table. The main contributions of this work are a spectral representation of transition probabilities and a multistate approach to double decrement modeling. 
Keywords: Multistate process, Spectral representation
Author: Sutawanir, Darwis and  Kuslan
Journal Code: jpmatematikagg080001

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