PENGARUH UTANG LUAR NEGERI DAN EKSPOR TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI INDONESIA PERIODE 2000.1 – 2008.4

ABSTRACT: This article aims to identify and analyze the effect of foreign debts and exports to economic growth in Indo-nesia. Secondary data used is quarterly data of period 2000.1 – 2008.4. Sources of data are from Bank Indone-sia and IMF. This article is based on debt led growth and export led growth hypothesis. Econometric model used is Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). The results of this research are as follows: First, export vari-able lag 3 that is D{LX(-3)}has negative and signifi-cant effect to the economic growth in Indonesia periode 2000.1 – 2008.4. Second, economic growth variable  lag 1 that is D{LG(-1)} has positive and significat effect to the economic growth in Indonesia periode 2000.1 – 2008.4. Third, foreign debts and exports proved has no positive and signifanct effect to the economic growth in Indonesia periode 2000.1 – 2008.4.
Keywords: economic growth, foreign debts, export
Penulis: Y. Sri Susilo, Rini Setyastuti
Kode Jurnal: jpmanajemendd130526
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