DAMPAK KENAIKAN HARGA BBM TERHADAP KINERJA EKONOMI MAKRO, KERAGAAN EKONOMI SEKTORAL DAN RUMAHTANGGA DI INDONESIA (Suatu Pendekatan Model Ekonomi Keseimbangan Umum Recursive Dynamic)
Abstract: An 29% increased on
fuel price on March 1st, 2005 has
several implications on Indonesian economy. It includes micro and
macroeconomics performance of Indonesian economy. Using Recursive Dynamic Computable General
Equilibrium (CGE) Model, namely “Poverty Indonesian Model”, the simulations
show that an increase of fuel price tends to reduced household and industry
demand for fuel (oil refinery). Reducing demand also happen although an
increase of fuel price following which the compensation fund on health and
education sectors. Furthermore, wage of unskilled labor also decline. The
purchasing power and welfare of households will be reduced because the
households also face the increasing prices of commodities. From Macroeconomic
side, an increased of fuel price decline has no significant impact on GDP and
decline a household consumption and land rent. The inflation rate will around
3% after and before compensation program.
Penulis: Rina Oktaviani,
Sahara Sahara
Kode Jurnal: jpmanajemendd050021
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