APLIKASI NPV AT RISK DALAM ANALISIS KELAYAKAN FINANSIAL BUDIDAYA JAMUR TIRAM PUTIH DI KABUPATEN BOGOR JAWA BARAT
Abstract: The purpose of this
study where to analyze white oyster mushroom farming activity in Sub-Province
of Bogor, to analyze financial feasibility of
white oyster mushroom farming activity for high and low land in
Sub-Province of Bogor by NPV at Risk Method and to analyze the switching value
for the changes of cost and benefit in
white oyster mushroom farming activity.
The data were collected from 6 farmer living in high and low land in
Sub-Province of Bogor. The NPV at risk model and switching value analysis were
used to analyze tha data. The result of
the study showed that white oyster mushroom farming activity for high and low
land in Sub-Province of Bogor were feasible by financial that considered by
investors in selecting the location to act the white oyster mushroom
farming. The risks like price risk,
production risk in that activity have accomodated in to cash flow. Accomodation for price risk was used the
inflation rate and for production risk was used estimation for failure of crop
in white oyster mushroom farming activity according the farmers in
location. Switching value was used for
to analyze maximum changes in cost and benefit which were developing the cash
flow. The maximum changes describes that
the changes admit of tolerated. The
result for switching value analysis showed that the decreasing of production of
white oyster mushroom (fresh and baglog) more sensitive than the others
(decreasing of fresh white oyster mushroom price and increasing of varible
input cost). This matter showed that
production risk having an effect on white oyster mushroom farming activity than
price risk. According that situation,
the farmer must be repaire the technology of
white oyster mushroom farming activity. The application of this model
gives many outputs (NPV) and risks variabilities so that it can give a much more attractive and variying
recommendation especially for the investors to do the investment decision
especiaaly for white oyster mushroom farming activity.
Penulis: Tintin Sarianti,
Hendro Sasongko, Anny Ratnawati
Kode Jurnal: jpmanajemendd080079
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