MODEL PENYEBARAN PENYAKIT DEMAM BERDARAH DI MALANG
ABSTRACT: A mathematic model
plays an important role in the understanding of epidemiology and the spreader
of dengue. This model describes briefly about the non-linear process and the
infection process of dengue to a person and the emergence of this disease in
certain population. An important definition is taken from –this a dynamic analysis,
which is focused on the incidence or prevalence of the spreader of a disease in
a certain population. It also includes epidemic process in a steady state
population. This research explains mathematic models of the spreader of dengue
in Malang that covers the number of outbreaks to cope with DBD, the stability
of the disease, the endemic area and the prediction of the number of people
that are infected by this disease in the future. The dynamic analysis of the
host and vector were derived from the formula of differential equation system,
and then defined as mathematic model. From this, we can get basic reproduction
number (Ra). It is a number that indicate whether a dynamic system from the
model is stable.
Keyword: Mathematic Model,
DBD, epidemic, Outbreak
Penulis: Usman Pagalay
Kode Jurnal: jpperadabanislamdd070068
