ANALISIS STRATEGI PEMANFAATAN LIMBAH TANAMAN PANGAN SEBAGAI PAKAN RUMINANSIA DI SULAWESI SELATAN
ABSTRACT: Vector Auto
Regression (VAR) is an analysis or statistic method which can be used to predict
time series variable and to analyst dynamic impact of disturbance factor in the
variable system. In addition, VAR analysis is very useful to assess the
interrelationship between economic variables. This research through the
following test phases: unit root test, test of hypothesis, Granger causality
test, and form a vector autoregresion model (VAR). The data used in this research is the GDP data and budget
data of South Sulawesi in the period 1985-2004. The research aims to analyze the
interrelationship between public expenditure and economic growth in South Sulawesi.
The result showed statistically significant in economic growth (PDRB) influence
public expenditure (APBD), however, not vice versa. Otherwise, for the need of
APBD prediction, the used of lag 4 was the optimum model based on the causal
relationship to PDRB.
Key word: hubungan kausalitas, belanja publik,
pertumbuhan ekonomi, Vector Auto Regression (VAR) analysis
Penulis: Jasmal A. Syamsu, Agustina Abdullah
Kode Jurnal: jpmanajemendd090112
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