ANALISIS PERUBAHAN KURS RUPIAH TERHADAP DOLLAR AMERIKA
ABSTRACT: This research
analyse influence of money supply, inflation, SBI rate of interest, and import
to Indonesia Rupiah exchange rate to US Dollar. In analysis, used multiple regression
analysis instrument with model Error Correction Model (ECM). With this method
obtained equation of regression in long-run and short-run equilibrium. In the
long run equilibrium model, covered series of adjustment process that bringing
every shock to equilibrium. In other word, in the long run very possibly performed
full adjustment to every changes in arising out. Estimation result from regression
ECM and long-run analysis indicate that inflation variable, SBI rate of interest,
and import have significant influence with positive direction to exchange rate.
While variable JUB have influence with negative direction to exchange rate.
Keywords: exchange rate, ECM,
monetary tight policy
Penulis: Triyono
Kode Jurnal: jpmanajemendd080049
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