Peramalan Aliran Masukan Waduk Mrica Menggunakan Model Thomas-Fieringdan Jaringan Syaraf Tiruan ANFIS
Abstract: Inflow forecasting
in hydrology processes is important tool in water resources
management,planning, and utilization. The fulfillment of this operational
hydrology isvery applicable, especially where onlyan insufficient amount of
data collected over an insufficient length of time is available. The
Thomas-Fiering Method is one of the most useful and widely used synthetic flow
models. In last year’s, ArtificialNeural Network (ANN)method and Fuzzy Logic
have introduced in hydrological processes. Mrica hydropower reservoir in
Central Java, Indonesia, has suffered water sustainability andenergy
sustainability problems since the reservoir management used simple-operator
judged waterinflow forecasting method. In this paper, an ANN and Fuzzy Logic
hybrid algorithm calledAdaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System(ANFIS) and
Thomas-Fiering model are employed to estimate water inflow to the Mrica reservoir.
ANFIS performs better for long-range inflow forecasting, while Thomas-Fiering
model was better for short-range forecasting.
Penulis: Imron Rosyadi
Kode Jurnal: jptindustridd110164