PROYEKSI PRODUKSI DAN KONSUMSI TELUR AYAM RAS DI PROVINSI LAMPUNG
Abstract: Poultry egg is one
of the important animal protein resource.
Consequently, their availability in a society has to be predicted for
several years. In Lampung Province, the
local government forecasts the poultry
egg production just for one year. It
causes the production of poultry egg, as well as their availability, is unknown
for long term. Therefore, the aim of this study is to project the production and to project the consumption
of the poultry egg. Both projections are
compared in order to know its sufficiency. The prediction was done by the
ordinary least square method with the time series data 2000-2013. The result showed that the average product
(AP) was 16.75 kgs/head/year. However, during the epidemic of the avian
infulenza (2003-2007), the AP had been decreasing, i.e. 15.99 kgs/head/year. The poultry egg
production in 2013 was 51.39 thousand tons and the average growth rate was
3.64% per year. Meanwhile, the poultry egg consumption of Lampung Province in 2013 was 51.33 thousand tons and the
average growth rate was 2.48% per year.
Since the growth rate of production is higher than the growth rate of
consumption, the production will be larger than the consumption starting in
2026.
Penulis: Asih Mityas Lestari,
Agus Hudoyo, Eka Kasymir
Kode Jurnal jppertaniandd150938